Issued forecast

2026-09-24 21:00Z

Historical AECPHC forecast as issued. Positions, wind, pressure and classifications shown below were forecast values unless marked observed.

EP152026

Nolo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-24T12Z, CMCI 09-24T06Z, CTCI 09-24T12Z, HFAI 09-24T12Z, HMNI 09-24T12Z, HWFI 09-24T12Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 105 hours with 74 kt; maximum group track spread is 247 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z	Official	14.9°N	156.1°W	60 kt	992 hPa	TS
2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.1°N	156.1°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.3°N	156.0°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.5°N	155.9°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.7°N	155.8°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.9°N	155.8°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	155.7°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.2°N	155.6°W	62 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	155.5°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.4°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.4°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.5°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.6°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.6°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.5°N	155.8°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	155.9°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	156.1°W	62 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	156.3°W	62 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	156.6°W	64 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	156.8°W	65 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.9°N	157.1°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	157.4°W	68 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	157.7°W	73 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	158.1°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.7°N	158.4°W	83 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.7°N	158.7°W	88 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	159.0°W	90 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.0°N	159.3°W	92 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	159.6°W	93 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	159.9°W	95 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	160.1°W	92 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.9°N	160.3°W	88 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	160.4°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.4°N	160.6°W	81 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.8°N	160.7°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.2°N	160.8°W	74 kt	—	HU

EP162026

Odalys

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-24T12Z, CMCI 09-24T06Z, CTCI 09-24T12Z, HFAI 09-24T12Z, HMNI 09-24T12Z, HWFI 09-24T12Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 105 hours with 28 kt; maximum group track spread is 341 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z	Official	16.8°N	124.9°W	80 kt	976 hPa	HU
2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.0°N	124.6°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	124.5°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.4°N	124.3°W	76 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.6°N	124.1°W	75 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.8°N	124.0°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.0°N	123.9°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.2°N	123.9°W	71 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.4°N	123.8°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.7°N	123.8°W	69 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	123.8°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.1°N	123.8°W	64 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.4°N	123.8°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	123.8°W	58 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.8°N	123.9°W	55 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.0°N	123.9°W	53 kt	—	TS
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.2°N	124.0°W	52 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	124.0°W	50 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	124.2°W	48 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	124.3°W	46 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	124.4°W	44 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.9°N	124.5°W	42 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.9°N	124.7°W	40 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	124.8°W	38 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	125.0°W	37 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.7°N	125.1°W	35 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	125.2°W	34 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	125.3°W	33 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	125.4°W	32 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.1°N	125.4°W	31 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.0°N	125.3°W	30 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	125.3°W	30 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.7°N	125.5°W	29 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	125.7°W	29 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.4°N	125.8°W	29 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.1°N	126.0°W	28 kt	—	TD

EP172026

Polo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-24T12Z, CMCI 09-24T06Z, CTCI 09-24T12Z, HFAI 09-24T12Z, HMNI 09-24T12Z, HWFI 09-24T12Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 105 hours with 85 kt; maximum group track spread is 298 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z	Official	17.1°N	105.5°W	130 kt	935 hPa	HU
2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.1°N	106.0°W	129 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	106.4°W	128 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	106.9°W	127 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	107.3°W	126 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	107.7°W	126 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	108.2°W	126 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.3°N	108.6°W	128 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.3°N	109.0°W	130 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.3°N	109.4°W	131 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.4°N	109.8°W	133 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.6°N	110.2°W	134 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.7°N	110.6°W	136 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.8°N	111.0°W	137 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.1°N	111.3°W	137 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.3°N	111.7°W	137 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.6°N	112.0°W	136 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	112.4°W	136 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.2°N	112.7°W	134 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	113.0°W	133 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	113.3°W	131 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	113.6°W	129 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	113.8°W	125 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.1°N	114.0°W	121 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.4°N	114.1°W	116 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.9°N	114.3°W	112 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.2°N	114.3°W	109 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	114.3°W	107 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.9°N	114.2°W	104 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.3°N	114.2°W	101 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.5°N	114.3°W	99 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.7°N	114.3°W	96 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.9°N	114.1°W	94 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	24.1°N	114.0°W	91 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	24.3°N	113.8°W	88 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	24.4°N	113.6°W	85 kt	—	HU