EP182026
Rachel
AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-10-06T03:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 10-06T00Z, CMCI 10-05T18Z, CTCI 10-06T00Z, HFAI 10-06T00Z, HMNI 10-06T00Z, HWFI 10-06T00Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 111 hours with 38 kt; maximum group track spread is 99 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.
| Valid UTC | Status | Latitude | Longitude | Wind | Pressure | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06T03:00:00.000Z | Official | 20.4°N | 117.9°W | 80 kt | 973 hPa | HU |
| 2026-10-06T06:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.4°N | 118.2°W | 77 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-06T09:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.5°N | 118.6°W | 75 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-06T12:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.5°N | 118.9°W | 72 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-06T15:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.5°N | 119.2°W | 71 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-06T18:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.5°N | 119.5°W | 69 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-06T21:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.5°N | 119.7°W | 67 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.6°N | 120.0°W | 65 kt | — | HU |
| 2026-10-07T03:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.6°N | 120.3°W | 63 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-07T06:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.6°N | 120.5°W | 61 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-07T09:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.7°N | 120.9°W | 59 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-07T12:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.8°N | 121.3°W | 57 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-07T15:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 20.9°N | 121.7°W | 56 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-07T18:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.1°N | 122.1°W | 55 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-07T21:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.3°N | 122.5°W | 54 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.4°N | 122.8°W | 53 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T03:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.5°N | 123.2°W | 53 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T06:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.6°N | 123.6°W | 52 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T09:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.7°N | 124.0°W | 52 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T12:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.8°N | 124.4°W | 52 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T15:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 124.8°W | 51 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T18:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 125.2°W | 50 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-08T21:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 125.6°W | 49 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T00:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 126.0°W | 49 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T03:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 126.3°W | 49 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T06:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 126.5°W | 48 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T09:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 126.9°W | 48 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T12:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.9°N | 127.2°W | 47 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T15:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.8°N | 127.3°W | 45 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T18:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.8°N | 127.5°W | 43 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-09T21:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.7°N | 127.6°W | 42 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T00:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.6°N | 127.7°W | 41 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T03:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.5°N | 127.6°W | 40 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T06:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.4°N | 127.5°W | 39 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T09:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.3°N | 127.4°W | 39 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T12:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.3°N | 127.3°W | 38 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T15:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.2°N | 127.1°W | 38 kt | — | TS |
| 2026-10-10T18:00:00.000Z | AECPHC forecast | 21.1°N | 126.9°W | 38 kt | — | TS |