Issued forecast

2026-09-30 06:00Z

Historical AECPHC forecast as issued. Positions, wind, pressure and classifications shown below were forecast values unless marked observed.

EP152026

Nolo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-30T06Z, CMCI 09-30T06Z, CTCI 09-30T00Z, HFAI 09-30T00Z, HMNI 09-30T00Z, HWFI 09-29T18Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 99 hours with 103 kt; maximum group track spread is 114 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	Official	22.4°N	164.6°W	60 kt	987 hPa	TS
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	164.7°W	58 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	164.9°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	165.0°W	55 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	165.2°W	55 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.5°N	165.4°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.4°N	165.6°W	55 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.3°N	165.9°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	166.1°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	166.4°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	166.7°W	57 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	166.9°W	59 kt	—	TS
2026-10-01T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	167.2°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	167.4°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-10-02T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	167.7°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-10-02T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	167.9°W	65 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	168.2°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.2°N	168.4°W	69 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.2°N	168.8°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	169.1°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	169.3°W	73 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	169.7°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	170.2°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.2°N	170.7°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.3°N	171.2°W	82 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.4°N	171.7°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.5°N	172.3°W	87 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	172.9°W	89 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.7°N	173.6°W	92 kt	—	HU
2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.8°N	174.2°W	94 kt	—	HU
2026-10-04T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.9°N	175.0°W	96 kt	—	HU
2026-10-04T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.0°N	175.8°W	99 kt	—	HU
2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.2°N	176.6°W	101 kt	—	HU
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.4°N	177.4°W	103 kt	—	HU

EP172026

Polo

Official post-tropical or remnant analysis. No additional center forecast is issued.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-30T03:00:00.000Z	Official	30.5°N	108.0°W	30 kt	996 hPa	PTC

EP182026

Rachel

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-30T06Z, CMCI 09-30T06Z, CTCI 09-30T00Z, HFAI 09-30T06Z, HMNI 09-30T06Z, HWFI 09-30T06Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 111 hours with 63 kt; maximum group track spread is 175 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	Official	17.6°N	107.2°W	75 kt	979 hPa	HU
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.9°N	107.5°W	75 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.2°N	107.7°W	75 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.4°N	108.0°W	75 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.7°N	108.1°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	108.3°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.0°N	108.4°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.1°N	108.5°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.3°N	108.6°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.4°N	108.8°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.5°N	108.9°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	109.0°W	86 kt	—	HU
2026-10-01T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.7°N	109.2°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.8°N	109.3°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	109.5°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	109.6°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.0°N	109.9°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.1°N	110.2°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.1°N	110.4°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.1°N	110.7°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-10-02T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.2°N	111.0°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.2°N	111.3°W	83 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	111.7°W	82 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	112.0°W	80 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	112.3°W	76 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	112.7°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	113.0°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	113.4°W	64 kt	—	HU
2026-10-03T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	113.8°W	62 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	114.2°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	114.5°W	59 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	114.9°W	58 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	115.3°W	59 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	115.8°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	116.2°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	116.6°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-10-04T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	117.0°W	62 kt	—	TS
2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	117.4°W	63 kt	—	TS

EP192026

Nineteen-E

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-30T00Z, CMCI 09-29T18Z, CTCI 09-30T00Z, HFAI 09-30T00Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 69 hours with 31 kt; maximum group track spread is 289 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	Official	13.6°N	129.4°W	25 kt	1006 hPa	TD
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	13.7°N	128.9°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	13.9°N	128.4°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.1°N	127.9°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-09-30T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.2°N	127.5°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.3°N	127.0°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.5°N	126.4°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.6°N	125.9°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.7°N	125.4°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	124.9°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	124.5°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	124.1°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-10-01T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	123.7°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	123.3°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	122.9°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	122.5°W	27 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	122.2°W	27 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	121.8°W	28 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.7°N	121.4°W	29 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.5°N	121.0°W	30 kt	—	TD
2026-10-02T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.4°N	120.7°W	31 kt	—	TD
2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.4°N	120.3°W	32 kt	—	TD
2026-10-03T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.6°N	119.8°W	31 kt	—	TD
2026-10-03T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	14.8°N	119.2°W	31 kt	—	TD