Issued forecast

2026-09-26 12:00Z

Historical AECPHC forecast as issued. Positions, wind, pressure and classifications shown below were forecast values unless marked observed.

EP152026

Nolo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-25T18Z, CMCI 09-25T18Z, CTCI 09-25T18Z, HFAI 09-25T18Z, HMNI 09-25T18Z, HWFI 09-25T18Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 117 hours with 63 kt; maximum group track spread is 293 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	Official	16.5°N	155.4°W	90 kt	978 hPa	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.3°W	88 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.7°N	155.2°W	86 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.8°N	155.2°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.7°N	155.2°W	82 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.7°N	155.3°W	81 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.3°W	80 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.4°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	155.7°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.5°N	155.9°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	156.2°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	156.4°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	156.8°W	76 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	157.2°W	76 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	157.6°W	75 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.2°N	158.0°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	158.5°W	80 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	159.0°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	159.5°W	87 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.4°N	160.0°W	90 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	160.4°W	88 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.9°N	160.9°W	87 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.1°N	161.3°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.3°N	161.8°W	83 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.6°N	162.1°W	82 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.9°N	162.4°W	80 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.3°N	162.8°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.6°N	163.1°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	163.3°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.3°N	163.4°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	163.6°W	80 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	163.7°W	81 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.2°N	163.7°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	163.7°W	76 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	163.7°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.1°N	163.7°W	73 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.3°N	163.7°W	71 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.4°N	163.7°W	68 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.6°N	163.6°W	66 kt	—	HU
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.7°N	163.6°W	63 kt	—	TS

EP162026

Odalys

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-26T06Z, CMCI 09-26T06Z, CTCI 09-26T06Z, HFAI 09-26T06Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 81 hours with 28 kt; maximum group track spread is 154 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	Official	19.1°N	123.7°W	100 kt	951 hPa	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.4°N	123.7°W	94 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.7°N	123.6°W	89 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.0°N	123.6°W	83 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	123.5°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	123.5°W	73 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.9°N	123.4°W	68 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.2°N	123.4°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.4°N	123.4°W	60 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.6°N	123.4°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.8°N	123.4°W	53 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	123.4°W	50 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	123.4°W	47 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	123.5°W	44 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.0°N	123.5°W	42 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	123.5°W	39 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.9°N	123.5°W	38 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.7°N	123.5°W	37 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.5°N	123.6°W	36 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.3°N	123.6°W	35 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.9°N	123.7°W	34 kt	—	TS
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.6°N	123.8°W	33 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	123.8°W	33 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	123.9°W	32 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	124.0°W	31 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.3°N	124.0°W	30 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	124.1°W	29 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.7°N	124.2°W	28 kt	—	TD

EP172026

Polo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-25T18Z, CMCI 09-25T18Z, CTCI 09-25T18Z, HFAI 09-25T18Z, HMNI 09-25T18Z, HWFI 09-25T18Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 117 hours with 33 kt; maximum group track spread is 214 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	Official	17.2°N	109.2°W	155 kt	913 hPa	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	109.7°W	152 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	110.1°W	149 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.3°N	110.6°W	146 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.4°N	111.0°W	144 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.5°N	111.4°W	143 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.7°N	111.8°W	142 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.8°N	112.2°W	140 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.1°N	112.5°W	139 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.4°N	112.8°W	138 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.7°N	113.2°W	136 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	113.5°W	135 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.3°N	113.7°W	133 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	114.0°W	131 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	114.2°W	129 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.2°N	114.4°W	127 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	114.5°W	123 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	114.7°W	119 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.1°N	114.8°W	114 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.5°N	114.9°W	110 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.8°N	114.9°W	107 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	115.0°W	103 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.4°N	115.0°W	100 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.7°N	115.0°W	96 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.0°N	114.9°W	92 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.2°N	114.8°W	88 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.3°N	114.7°W	83 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.4°N	114.5°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.4°N	114.3°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.5°N	114.1°W	69 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.6°N	113.9°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.6°N	113.8°W	58 kt	—	TS
2026-09-29T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.7°N	113.7°W	55 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.7°N	113.4°W	51 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.7°N	113.2°W	48 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.8°N	113.0°W	44 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.7°N	112.9°W	41 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.7°N	112.8°W	39 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.6°N	112.6°W	36 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	23.6°N	112.5°W	33 kt	—	TD