Issued forecast

2026-09-25 18:00Z

Historical AECPHC forecast as issued. Positions, wind, pressure and classifications shown below were forecast values unless marked observed.

EP152026

Nolo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-24T18Z, CMCI 09-24T18Z, CTCI 09-24T18Z, HFAI 09-24T18Z, HMNI 09-24T18Z, HWFI 09-24T18Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 117 hours with 65 kt; maximum group track spread is 293 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-24T21:00:00.000Z	Official	14.9°N	156.1°W	60 kt	992 hPa	TS
2026-09-25T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.0°N	156.0°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.1°N	156.0°W	62 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.3°N	155.9°W	63 kt	—	TS
2026-09-25T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.4°N	155.8°W	64 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.6°N	155.6°W	65 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.7°N	155.5°W	66 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.9°N	155.4°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.0°N	155.3°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	155.3°W	68 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.2°N	155.2°W	68 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	155.2°W	69 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	155.3°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	155.4°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.2°N	155.5°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.2°N	155.6°W	69 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	155.9°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.1°N	156.2°W	71 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.0°N	156.4°W	71 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.9°N	156.7°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	157.0°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	157.3°W	76 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.7°N	157.6°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.6°N	157.9°W	80 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.7°N	158.3°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.8°N	158.6°W	86 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	15.9°N	158.9°W	85 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.0°N	159.3°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.3°N	159.6°W	82 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.6°N	159.8°W	79 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	16.8°N	160.1°W	77 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.1°N	160.4°W	75 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.5°N	160.4°W	72 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.9°N	160.5°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.3°N	160.6°W	68 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.7°N	160.6°W	67 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.1°N	160.6°W	66 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	160.5°W	66 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.1°N	160.4°W	65 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	160.4°W	65 kt	—	HU

EP162026

Odalys

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-25T12Z, CMCI 09-25T06Z, CTCI 09-25T12Z, HFAI 09-25T12Z, HMNI 09-25T00Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 105 hours with 24 kt; maximum group track spread is 220 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	Official	17.9°N	123.7°W	115 kt	946 hPa	HU
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.1°N	123.7°W	111 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.2°N	123.6°W	106 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.4°N	123.6°W	102 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.6°N	123.6°W	98 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	123.6°W	94 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.1°N	123.7°W	90 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.3°N	123.7°W	86 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	123.7°W	81 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	123.7°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.2°N	123.7°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	123.7°W	70 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	123.7°W	66 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.0°N	123.7°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.3°N	123.7°W	57 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.5°N	123.7°W	52 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.5°N	123.8°W	49 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.6°N	123.8°W	46 kt	—	TS
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.6°N	123.9°W	43 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.6°N	124.0°W	40 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.5°N	124.2°W	39 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.4°N	124.3°W	37 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.3°N	124.2°W	36 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.2°N	124.2°W	34 kt	—	TS
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.9°N	124.2°W	33 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.8°N	124.3°W	32 kt	—	TD
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.5°N	124.3°W	31 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.3°N	124.4°W	30 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.0°N	124.6°W	29 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.7°N	124.8°W	28 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.4°N	125.0°W	27 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.1°N	125.2°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	125.5°W	26 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.6°N	125.9°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-09-29T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.4°N	126.3°W	25 kt	—	TD
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.2°N	126.6°W	24 kt	—	TD

EP172026

Polo

AECPHC model-consensus forecast initialized from the official 2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z analysis. Guidance: AVNI 09-25T12Z, CMCI 09-25T06Z, CTCI 09-25T12Z, HFAI 09-25T12Z, HMNI 09-25T12Z, HWFI 09-25T12Z. Related models are combined before equal weighting across independent groups. Initial position and wind offsets fade over 24 hours. Forecast ends at 111 hours with 46 kt; maximum group track spread is 147 n mi. Pressure and structural transition timing are unavailable. This method has not been calibrated against historical errors.

Valid UTC	Status	Latitude	Longitude	Wind	Pressure	Type
2026-09-25T15:00:00.000Z	Official	17.1°N	108.5°W	155 kt	900 hPa	HU
2026-09-25T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.1°N	109.0°W	152 kt	—	HU
2026-09-25T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.0°N	109.4°W	151 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.0°N	109.9°W	149 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.1°N	110.3°W	147 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	110.7°W	145 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.2°N	111.1°W	143 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.3°N	111.5°W	140 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.5°N	111.8°W	138 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.6°N	112.2°W	136 kt	—	HU
2026-09-26T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	17.8°N	112.5°W	134 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.0°N	112.9°W	132 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.3°N	113.1°W	130 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.6°N	113.4°W	128 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	18.9°N	113.6°W	125 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.3°N	113.8°W	123 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.6°N	114.0°W	121 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	19.9°N	114.2°W	118 kt	—	HU
2026-09-27T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.1°N	114.4°W	116 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.4°N	114.7°W	113 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	20.7°N	114.8°W	108 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.0°N	115.0°W	104 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.3°N	115.2°W	99 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.6°N	115.3°W	94 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	21.9°N	115.4°W	92 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.1°N	115.4°W	89 kt	—	HU
2026-09-28T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.4°N	115.4°W	87 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	115.5°W	84 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	115.4°W	81 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	115.3°W	78 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T09:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.7°N	115.3°W	74 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T12:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.7°N	115.2°W	71 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T15:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	115.1°W	66 kt	—	HU
2026-09-29T18:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.6°N	115.0°W	61 kt	—	TS
2026-09-29T21:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.5°N	114.9°W	56 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T00:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.4°N	114.8°W	51 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T03:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.3°N	114.9°W	47 kt	—	TS
2026-09-30T06:00:00.000Z	AECPHC forecast	22.2°N	115.0°W	46 kt	—	TS